Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City U21 v Aston Villa U21 — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Stoke City U21 0-1 Aston Villa U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa U21 edged past Stoke City U21 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aston Villa U21 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Stoke City U21 had 44% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 56%, shots finished 5-19.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stoke City U21 and 1.50 for Aston Villa U21.
What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Stoke City U21 0-1 Aston Villa U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 28%, draw 25%, Aston Villa U21 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa U21), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.