17/04/2026
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al Karma vs Al Shorta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
26%
Draw
28%
36%
Away Win
38%
60%
Under 2.5
52%
40%
Over 2.5
48%
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
56%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Karma v Al Shorta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Shorta
EU Bookmakers 42%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-17% /
-17%
1.38/0.34
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.01/1.00
+21%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-14%
/
+3%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
271 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
302 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Karma vs Al Shorta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Karma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Shorta
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Karma vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Karma and Al Shorta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Al Karma vs Al Shorta?
Al Karma 1-1 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Al Shorta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 37%, draw 26%, Al Shorta 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Karma), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Karma)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
17 Apr 2026