Al Karma 1-1 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 42%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.38/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.00
+21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shorta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.10.2025 Al Shorta Al Shorta 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Karma IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma and Al Shorta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Al Shorta?

Al Karma 1-1 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 37%, draw 26%, Al Shorta 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Karma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Karma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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