Al Kahrabaa 1-3 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.87/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.49
+48% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
494 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kahrabaa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Maysan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.02.2026 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa IRAK
04.04.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan saw off Al Kahrabaa 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Kahrabaa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Kahrabaa and 1.00 for Naft Maysan.

What was the final score of Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan?

Al Kahrabaa 1-3 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kahrabaa vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kahrabaa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Kahrabaa 45%, draw 24%, Naft Maysan 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Kahrabaa) ✗ Under 2.5
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