Jalapa 2-0 Real Madriz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madriz EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.26/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.17
-26% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Madriz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2026 Real Madriz Real Madriz 0-3 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
02.11.2025 Real Madriz Real Madriz 1-2 HT 0-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
25.08.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 4-2 HT 2-1 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
27.02.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
01.11.2021 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
12.09.2021 Real Madriz Real Madriz 1-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Real Madriz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa got the better of Real Madriz 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jalapa and 1.00 for Real Madriz.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Real Madriz?

Jalapa 2-0 Real Madriz in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Real Madriz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 51%, draw 27%, Real Madriz 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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