Export Sebaco 0-2 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 60%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.77/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.15
-34% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Diriangen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2026 Diriangen Diriangen 0-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.12.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 5-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
01.12.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
03.11.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 5-0 HT 2-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
24.08.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
26.01.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 0-3 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen beat Export Sebaco 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Export Sebaco and 2.00 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Export Sebaco 0-2 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 24%, draw 22%, Diriangen 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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