Perth 3-3 Bayswater City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.2pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.53/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.79
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bayswater City
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 3-3 HT 3-2 Perth Perth AVNPL
03.06.2023 Perth Perth 6-1 HT 3-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
20.08.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-1 HT 1-1 Perth Perth AVNPL
28.05.2022 Perth Perth 1-3 HT 1-2 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
10.07.2021 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-4 HT 0-2 Perth Perth AVUSB
10.04.2021 Perth Perth 2-1 HT 1-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
POST-MATCH Perth vs Bayswater City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth and Bayswater City shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Perth at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Perth and 1.83 for Bayswater City.

What was the final score of Perth vs Bayswater City?

Perth 3-3 Bayswater City in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth vs Bayswater City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Perth 42%, draw 22%, Bayswater City 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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