Moreland City 2-1 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 May 2024

Moreland City
2-1 HT 1-1
Green Gully
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Moreland City vs Green Gully Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
37%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
37%
Away Win
52%
-14.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreland City v Green Gully — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreland City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 56%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.27/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.62
+67% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +114%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Moreland City vs Green Gully Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreland City
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 1-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
08.07.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 1-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
07.04.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 6-2 HT 2-2 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreland City vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreland City edged past Green Gully 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Moreland City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Green Gully led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moreland City and 2.67 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Moreland City vs Green Gully?

Moreland City 2-1 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreland City vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated an Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Moreland City 34%, draw 29%, Green Gully 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Green Gully) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✓ BTTS Yes
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