HJK Helsinki 1-2 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
11%
4.19
X/2
11%
7.79
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
11%
5.96
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
1.36/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.05
-27% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.8 Crosses 16.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
4W-1D-1L
AWAY VPS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.77 xG 0.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
448 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 2-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
19.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-0 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN
15.04.2023 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
16.07.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
18.04.2022 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.07.2019 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
1-2
AWAY VPS
2.02 xG 1.69
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 6
401 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS nicked a narrow win over HJK Helsinki 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 61% of the ball to VPS's 39%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.02 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.83 for VPS.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs VPS?

HJK Helsinki 1-2 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 43%, draw 29%, VPS 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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