Ilves Tampere 5-0 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
0.97/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.44
-1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
337 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 83%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.5 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Haka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.36 xG 1.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
362 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FLK
15.09.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
04.08.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
07.06.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
04.02.2023 Haka Haka 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
27.08.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-3 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
5-0
AWAY Haka
2.95 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
394 Passes 341
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere swept aside Haka 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ilves Tampere found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 52% of the ball to Haka's 48%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.95 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.83 for Haka.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Haka?

Ilves Tampere 5-0 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 39%, draw 29%, Haka 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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