Lyon (K) 2-1 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.38
Over 2.5
42%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.66
No
61%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
30%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-4.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
38%
+19.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
62%
-19.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
56%
-16.8pp
61%
BTTS No
44%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.15/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.15
-46% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +62%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
24.0 Crosses 8.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
4W-1D-1L
AWAY PSG (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.56 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
257 Passes 303
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
20.04.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K
11.02.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
30.04.2022 PSG (K) PSG (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
24.04.2022 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K
18.04.2021 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
2-1
AWAY PSG (K)
0.47 xG 1.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
268 Passes 460
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) nicked a narrow win over PSG (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 40% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 60%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.47 to 1.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured PSG (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lyon (K) and 1.50 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Lyon (K) 2-1 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 59%, draw 20%, PSG (K) 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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