Roda 0-5 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 May 2024

Roda
0 - 5 HT 0 - 1
NAC Breda
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Roda vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.38
Over Pick
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.51
No
40%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
18%
5.07
2-3
42%
1.96
4-5
29%
2.74
6+
11%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.19
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.41
X/2
8%
9.43
X/X
13%
5.89
2/1 ✗
3%
20.65
2/2
12%
6.28
2/X
5%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 3% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Roda v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Roda The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.10 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
0.85 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.68
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2

Roda vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
2W-1D-3L
AWAY NAC Breda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
321 Passes 332
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.05.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 3-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
23.03.2024 Roda Roda 3-1 HT 1-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
09.09.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-3 HT 1-2 Roda Roda HOL2
29.04.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-2 HT 3-1 Roda Roda HOL2
26.08.2022 Roda Roda 1-3 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
04.02.2022 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2

Roda 0-5 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
0 - 5
AWAY NAC Breda
1.16 xG 1.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
375 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Roda vs NAC Breda
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

NAC Breda cruised past Roda 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Roda at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (62%) came in, both teams to score (60%) didn't.

By the numbers, Roda had 54% of the ball to NAC Breda's 46%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.16 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roda and 2.33 for NAC Breda.

Roda vs NAC Breda Result & Final Score

Roda 0 - 5 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Roda vs NAC Breda Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Roda 55%, draw 23%, NAC Breda 22%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Roda), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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