Famalicao vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Famalicao v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Famalicao vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Casa Pia
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Famalicao
POR
Famalicao 1-2 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia edged past Famalicao 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Famalicao had 56% of the ball to Casa Pia's 44%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.48 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Famalicao had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Famalicao and 0.33 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Casa Pia?
Famalicao 1-2 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 50%, draw 23%, Casa Pia 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Famalicao), BTTS No went the other way.