Rio Ave 1-1 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 17 May 2024

Rio Ave
1-1 HT 0-1
Benfica
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Rio Ave vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
53%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.61
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
6.03
2-3 Goals
37%
2.08
4-5 Goals
25%
2.57
6+ Goals
10%
5.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.03 — our 28% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.0pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-13.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.4pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rio Ave v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica EU Bookmakers 71%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.65/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.88
-42% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
14.5 Crosses 20.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rio Ave vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Benfica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.03 xG 2.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
340 Passes 470
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2024 Benfica Benfica 4-1 HT 1-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
02.04.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-1 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
08.10.2022 Benfica Benfica 4-2 HT 3-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
01.03.2021 Benfica Benfica 2-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
18.10.2020 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-3 HT 0-2 Benfica Benfica POR
17.06.2020 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-2 HT 1-0 Benfica Benfica POR

Rio Ave 1-1 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave
1-1
AWAY Benfica
1.50 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
380 Passes 449
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rio Ave vs Benfica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave and Benfica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rio Ave had 46% of the ball to Benfica's 54%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.50 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rio Ave and 2.67 for Benfica.

What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Benfica?

Rio Ave 1-1 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Benfica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 23%, draw 23%, Benfica 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benfica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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