Benfica vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
4-2
HT 3-1
Rio Ave
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
0-3
HT 0-2
Benfica
POR
1-2
HT 1-0
Benfica
POR
3-2
HT 1-2
Rio Ave
POK
Benfica 4-1 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica cruised past Rio Ave 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Benfica had 58% of the ball to Rio Ave's 42%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.76 to 1.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Benfica and 0.83 for Rio Ave.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Rio Ave?
Benfica 4-1 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Rio Ave?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Benfica 63%, draw 20%, Rio Ave 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.