Vizela 1-4 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 14 Jan 2024

Vizela
1-4 HT 0-2
Boavista
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Vizela vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.45
6+ Goals
8%
23.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
10%
4.31
X/2
9%
7.27
X/X
18%
3.98
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
16%
5.86
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vizela v Boavista — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.67/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.37
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.3 Crosses 15.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Vizela vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Boavista
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.20 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 Passes 338
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.04.2023 Vizela Vizela 1-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
30.10.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 1-2 Vizela Vizela POR
06.02.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela POR
28.08.2021 Vizela Vizela 1-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
22.11.2020 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POK

Vizela 1-4 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
1-4
AWAY Boavista
2.73 xG 1.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
33 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 1
433 Passes 253
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
45 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boavista swept aside Vizela 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Boavista found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vizela had 60% of the ball to Boavista's 40%, shots finished 33-11, expected goals 2.73 to 1.80 — on chances, Vizela could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Boavista led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Vizela and 1.40 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Boavista?

Vizela 1-4 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vizela 39%, draw 29%, Boavista 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vizela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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