Gil Vicente vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gil Vicente v Estrela — Team-Based Signals
Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics
Gil Vicente and Estrela shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Gil Vicente had 47% of the ball to Estrela's 53%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.59 to 1.58.
What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Estrela?
Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Estrela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 41%, draw 27%, Estrela 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.