Shaanxi Union 3-2 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 32%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.60/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.00
+86% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
21.0 Crosses 13.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shaanxi Union
3-2
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
2.29 xG 1.78
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
387 Passes 185
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shaanxi Union vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shaanxi Union edged past Nantong Zhiyun 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shaanxi Union as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Shaanxi Union had 65% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 35%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 2.29 to 1.78.

What was the final score of Shaanxi Union vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Shaanxi Union 3-2 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shaanxi Union vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shaanxi Union 43%, draw 24%, Nantong Zhiyun 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shaanxi Union) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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