Foshan Nanshi 3-3 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
8%
8.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 30% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 70%
+15% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.69/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.49
-3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
13.1 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
270 Passes 325
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-2 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
28.09.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
12.05.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
13.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
13.08.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 4-0 HT 2-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Liaoning Shenyang couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liaoning Shenyang at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.00 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Foshan Nanshi 3-3 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 19%, draw 26%, Liaoning Shenyang 55%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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