Liaoning Shenyang 3-0 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.29/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.38
-21% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 70%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
30.2 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 0.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 273
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
12.05.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
13.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
13.08.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 4-0 HT 2-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
03.06.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-3 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
07.05.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang ran out comfortable winners over Foshan Nanshi 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.67 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Foshan Nanshi?

Liaoning Shenyang 3-0 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 56%, draw 24%, Foshan Nanshi 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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