Xian Ronghai 1-1 Ganzhou Ruishi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xian Ronghai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi EU Bookmakers 32%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
0.58/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.83
-27% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +135%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 80%
6.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
9.5 Crosses 11.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xian Ronghai
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.54 xG 1.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
196 Passes 202
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Ganzhou Ruishi Ganzhou Ruishi 2-2 HT 1-0 Xian Ronghai Xian Ronghai ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xian Ronghai
1-1
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi
0.76 xG 1.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
127 Passes 286
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 17
5 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xian Ronghai vs Ganzhou Ruishi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xian Ronghai and Ganzhou Ruishi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Xian Ronghai had 41% of the ball to Ganzhou Ruishi's 59%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.76 to 1.54.

What was the final score of Xian Ronghai vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

Xian Ronghai 1-1 Ganzhou Ruishi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xian Ronghai vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xian Ronghai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Xian Ronghai 39%, draw 31%, Ganzhou Ruishi 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Xian Ronghai), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xian Ronghai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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