Hunan Billows 1-0 Shaanxi Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hunan Billows EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -55%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
Crosses 25.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hunan Billows
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shaanxi Union
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 1.59
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
136 Passes 251
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Shaanxi Union Shaanxi Union 1-1 HT 1-1 Hunan Billows Hunan Billows ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Hunan Billows vs Shaanxi Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hunan Billows squeezed past Shaanxi Union 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shaanxi Union at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Hunan Billows vs Shaanxi Union?

Hunan Billows 1-0 Shaanxi Union in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hunan Billows vs Shaanxi Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hunan Billows 28%, draw 26%, Shaanxi Union 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shaanxi Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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