Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.77
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.02 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-9.8pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 11%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.37/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.25
-23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
29.8 Crosses 13.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
331 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 0-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
05.04.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-0
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.13 xG 0.57
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
288 Passes 114
77% Pass Accuracy 55%
34 Box Touches 16
39 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long edged past Yanbian Longding 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 65% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 35%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.13 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.00 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yanbian Longding?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 64%, draw 20%, Yanbian Longding 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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