Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.28/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.26
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 66%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
23.2 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
277 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.60 xG 0.43
64% Ball Possession 36%
30 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
385 Passes 200
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 8
40 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long and Yanbian Longding shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chongqing Tongliang Long at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 64% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 36%, shots finished 30-2, expected goals 1.60 to 0.43.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yanbian Longding?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 62%, draw 20%, Yanbian Longding 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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