Dalian Zhixing 3-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.19/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.41
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
23.7 Crosses 11.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 0.62
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
221 Passes 119
67% Pass Accuracy 55%
27 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-2 HT 1-1 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİN2
05.04.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-2 HT 2-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİN2
30.03.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
30.05.2023 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 1-1 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
3-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
2.06 xG 0.54
66% Ball Possession 34%
28 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
263 Passes 95
78% Pass Accuracy 58%
42 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing saw off Foshan Nanshi 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 66% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 34%, shots finished 28-7, expected goals 2.06 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dalian Zhixing had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dalian Zhixing and 1.00 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Foshan Nanshi?

Dalian Zhixing 3-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 59%, draw 23%, Foshan Nanshi 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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