Foshan Nanshi 2-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.19
6+ Goals
7%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 36% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.5pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.1pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.14/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.87
+24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +65%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.7 Crosses 10.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.53 xG 1.56
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
174 Passes 381
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
06.04.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 3-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
06.08.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
30.04.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
29.11.2022 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
04.11.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-2 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi nicked a narrow win over Nanjing City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 31% — and on the day Foshan Nanshi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.33 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City?

Foshan Nanshi 2-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 34%, draw 35%, Nanjing City 31%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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