Skelleftea 4-1 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İSÇD4, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.61
No
36%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
15%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
60%
-17.6pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+9.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.8pp
36%
BTTS No
42%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skelleftea EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 23%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-53% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
413 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skelleftea
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Bergnäsets
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2024 Skelleftea Skelleftea 3-2 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
06.04.2024 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-2 HT 1-0 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
23.09.2023 Skelleftea Skelleftea 3-1 HT 2-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 0-4 HT 0-1 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Skelleftea Skelleftea 3-0 HT 0-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
09.10.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-2 HT 0-1 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Skelleftea vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skelleftea cruised past Bergnäsets 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Skelleftea as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skelleftea had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Skelleftea and 1.17 for Bergnäsets.

What was the final score of Skelleftea vs Bergnäsets?

Skelleftea 4-1 Bergnäsets in the İSÇD4 on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skelleftea vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skelleftea win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Skelleftea 43%, draw 29%, Bergnäsets 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skelleftea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skelleftea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇD4 More İSÇD4
17 May 2025
14:00 Kiruna FF vs Pitea IF Analysis →
15:00 Gottne vs Kubikenborgs IF Analysis →
17:00 Taftea vs Lucksta Analysis →