Skelleftea 3-2 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.1pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skelleftea EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.18/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.42
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skelleftea
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bergnäsets
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-2 HT 1-0 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
23.09.2023 Skelleftea Skelleftea 3-1 HT 2-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 0-4 HT 0-1 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Skelleftea Skelleftea 3-0 HT 0-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
09.10.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-2 HT 0-1 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
02.10.2021 Skelleftea Skelleftea 1-1 HT 1-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Skelleftea vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skelleftea squeezed past Bergnäsets 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Skelleftea as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skelleftea had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Skelleftea and 1.00 for Bergnäsets.

What was the final score of Skelleftea vs Bergnäsets?

Skelleftea 3-2 Bergnäsets in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skelleftea vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skelleftea win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Skelleftea 47%, draw 28%, Bergnäsets 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skelleftea), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Skelleftea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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