Nosaby IF 1-1 FK Karlskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.9pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 66%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
0.93/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.22
-30% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nosaby IF
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FK Karlskrona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2 Corners 5
14.04.2024 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
19.08.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 6-0 HT 2-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
22.04.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
06.08.2022 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
15.04.2022 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 1-0 HT 1-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
17.10.2021 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nosaby IF
1-1
AWAY FK Karlskrona
53% Ball Possession 47%
25 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nosaby IF vs FK Karlskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nosaby IF and FK Karlskrona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Karlskrona at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nosaby IF had 53% of the ball to FK Karlskrona's 47%, shots finished 25-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nosaby IF and 2.33 for FK Karlskrona.

What was the final score of Nosaby IF vs FK Karlskrona?

Nosaby IF 1-1 FK Karlskrona in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nosaby IF vs FK Karlskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nosaby IF 28%, draw 24%, FK Karlskrona 49%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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