Lidköpings FK 1-1 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.38
Over 2.5
67%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
33%
Under 2.5
38%
-5.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
62%
+4.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.1pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.05/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.36
-45% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lidköpings FK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-3 HT 1-2 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
10.09.2023 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-1 HT 0-1 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
05.05.2023 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 1-3 HT 0-2 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 3-6 HT 1-2 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
21.08.2021 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
30.07.2021 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 4-1 HT 2-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Lidköpings FK vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lidköpings FK and Grebbestads IF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lidköpings FK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lidköpings FK and 2.00 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of Lidköpings FK vs Grebbestads IF?

Lidköpings FK 1-1 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lidköpings FK vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lidköpings FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lidköpings FK 44%, draw 20%, Grebbestads IF 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lidköpings FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lidköpings FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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