Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Genoa v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Genoa 2-3 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta edged past Genoa 3-2 away from home. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
On the day, possession split 56% to 44% in Genoa's favour, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.95.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Genoa against 2.50 for Atalanta.
Genoa vs Atalanta Result & Final Score
Genoa 2 - 3 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Genoa 27%, draw 29%, Atalanta 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.