Bali United vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bali United v Madura United — Team-Based Signals
Bali United vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Bali United
ENDL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Bali United
ENDL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Madura United
ENDL1
3-1
HT 2-1
Madura United
ENDL1
0-2
HT 0-2
Madura United
ENDL1
Bali United 0-2 Madura United — Actual Match Statistics
Madura United saw off Bali United 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Bali United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Bali United had 51% of the ball to Madura United's 49%, shots finished 12-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bali United and 1.17 for Madura United.
What was the final score of Bali United vs Madura United?
Bali United 0-2 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bali United vs Madura United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bali United 51%, draw 25%, Madura United 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bali United) went the other way.