Barito Putera 1-4 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.13/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.52
-23% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barito Putera
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSM Makassar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 Passes 143
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
22.12.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 3-2 HT 0-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
15.03.2024 Barito Putera Barito Putera 3-1 HT 1-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
09.02.2023 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 4-1 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
10.01.2023 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
28.01.2022 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 1-2 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
27.09.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-2 HT 0-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
POST-MATCH Barito Putera vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar swept aside Barito Putera 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Barito Putera at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barito Putera and 1.83 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Barito Putera vs PSM Makassar?

Barito Putera 1-4 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barito Putera vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barito Putera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barito Putera 44%, draw 25%, PSM Makassar 31%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barito Putera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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