Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 May 2025

Paide Linnameeskond
2-2 HT 1-1
Harju Jalgpallikool
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Estonia - Premium League – 2025

Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju Jalgpallikool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-4.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paide Linnameeskond v Harju Jalgpallikool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.51/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.54
+8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju Jalgpallikool Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
08.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
06.08.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
11.06.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
01.04.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1

Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-2
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond and Harju Jalgpallikool couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Paide Linnameeskond carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 62% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 38%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.20 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 65%, draw 18%, Harju Jalgpallikool 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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