Gyeongnam FC 1-3 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -12%
1.18/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.92
-6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.7 Crosses 21.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
448 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
22.06.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 4-0 HT 3-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
16.03.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
29.08.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
10.06.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
23.04.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-3
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 10
11 Corners 6
362 Passes 113
83% Pass Accuracy 59%
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa beat Gyeongnam FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Asan Mugunghwa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 68% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 32%, shots finished 23-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 2.00 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Gyeongnam FC 1-3 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 37%, draw 24%, Asan Mugunghwa 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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