Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
0.96/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.30
+3% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.9 Crosses 19.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 0.59
47% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
366 Passes 293
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 4-0 HT 3-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
16.03.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
29.08.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
10.06.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
23.04.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
31.08.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
3-0
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
218 Passes 448
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa cruised past Gyeongnam FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Asan Mugunghwa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 37% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 63%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.17 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Gyeongnam FC?

Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 41%, draw 28%, Gyeongnam FC 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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