Busan I Park 3-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.01/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.42
-35% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Seongnam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-2 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
19.05.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
16.09.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 3-0 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
16.07.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 0-2 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
22.04.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 1-3 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
14.04.2021 Seongnam Seongnam 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
3-1
AWAY Seongnam
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
358 Passes 337
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park beat Seongnam 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Busan I Park made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Busan I Park had 52% of the ball to Seongnam's 48%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Busan I Park and 1.17 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Seongnam?

Busan I Park 3-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 39%, draw 28%, Seongnam 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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