Gimpo Citizen 4-3 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
0.91/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.16
+13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
14.4 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 0.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
243 Passes 455
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-2 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
09.03.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 4-0 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
22.10.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
25.06.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
19.03.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
21.08.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
4-3
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
253 Passes 236
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen nicked a narrow win over Jeonnam Dragons 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gimpo Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 50% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 50%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 1.67 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Gimpo Citizen 4-3 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 34%, draw 30%, Jeonnam Dragons 36%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
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