Kagoshima United 5-0 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +12%
1.48/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.30
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 14.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fukushima United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
29.10.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
09.07.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 3-1 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
23.10.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 1-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
09.07.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-1 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
10.10.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
28.03.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-0 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
5-0
AWAY Fukushima United
43% Ball Possession 57%
24 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
310 Passes 454
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United cruised past Fukushima United 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 43% of the ball to Fukushima United's 57%, shots finished 24-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kagoshima United and 0.67 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?

Kagoshima United 5-0 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 45%, draw 25%, Fukushima United 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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