Tochigi City 1-0 FC Gifu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 31%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.76/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.59
+34% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 16.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
1-0
AWAY FC Gifu
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
25 Passes 108
40% Pass Accuracy 41%
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs FC Gifu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City nicked a narrow win over FC Gifu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Tochigi City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tochigi City had 46% of the ball to FC Gifu's 54%, shots finished 2-13.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs FC Gifu?

Tochigi City 1-0 FC Gifu in the Japan - J3 League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs FC Gifu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 35%, draw 29%, FC Gifu 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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