ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-2 Kochi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 May 2025

ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2-2 HT 1-1
Kochi United
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ThespaKusatsu Gunma v Kochi United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kochi United EU Bookmakers 30%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.34/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.75/1.76
-6% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.3 Crosses 11.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.5

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-2 Kochi United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2-2
AWAY Kochi United
69% Ball Possession 31%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
431 Passes 95
77% Pass Accuracy 56%
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma and Kochi United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was ThespaKusatsu Gunma at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 69% of the ball to Kochi United's 31%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-2 Kochi United in the Japan - J3 League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 44%, draw 25%, Kochi United 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) ✓ BTTS Yes
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