Al Ahly vs National Bank of Egypt Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahly v National Bank of Egypt — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahly vs National Bank of Egypt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Al Ahly
MSR
1-0
HT 1-0
National Bank of Egypt
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahly
MSR
Al Ahly 2-1 National Bank of Egypt — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahly squeezed past National Bank of Egypt 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Al Ahly had 61% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 39%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 0.61 to 0.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahly and 0.67 for National Bank of Egypt.
What was the final score of Al Ahly vs National Bank of Egypt?
Al Ahly 2-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs National Bank of Egypt?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 50%, draw 27%, National Bank of Egypt 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.