Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.09
2-3 Goals
39%
2.09
4-5 Goals
29%
2.45
6+ Goals
14%
5.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.7pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.28/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.78
-8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
21.8 Crosses 12.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Kholood
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 0.90
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
430 Passes 285
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2025 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
07.02.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD1
05.09.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Al Kholood
3.66 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
380 Passes 245
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah cruised past Al Kholood 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 59% of the ball to Al Kholood's 41%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.66 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 0.67 for Al Kholood.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood?

Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 62%, draw 19%, Al Kholood 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
17 May 2025
18:55 Al Ettifaq vs Damac FC Analysis →
19:15 Al Fayha vs Al Akhdoud Analysis →