Al Fayha 2-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
23.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 37% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.28/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.92
-5% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
14.6 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2025 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
07.04.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
20.10.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
2-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.72 xG 0.39
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
439 Passes 181
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha got the better of Al Akhdoud 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Fayha as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Fayha had 66% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 34%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.72 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Fayha had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Fayha and 0.67 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Fayha 2-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 42%, draw 27%, Al Akhdoud 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fayha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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