Adana Demirspor 0-5 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
36%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
36%
Away Win
47%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 51%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
1.40/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/3.96
+5% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
13.2 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.44
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.12.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
27.01.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
03.09.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
04.09.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
04.04.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
07.11.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
0-5
AWAY Hatayspor
1.63 xG 3.23
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
265 Passes 463
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor swept aside Adana Demirspor 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Hatayspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 40% of the ball to Hatayspor's 60%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.63 to 3.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.00 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor?

Adana Demirspor 0-5 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adana Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 36%, draw 28%, Hatayspor 36%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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