CA River Plate 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
1.22/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.10
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
23.06.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-2 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
06.04.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
08.02.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URUK
20.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
02.07.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 4-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
0-1
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers squeezed past CA River Plate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Montevideo Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CA River Plate had 49% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 51%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CA River Plate and 1.33 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Montevideo Wanderers?

CA River Plate 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 36%, draw 27%, Montevideo Wanderers 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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