Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v One Knoxville — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
One Knoxville
USL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Charlotte Independence
USL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Charlotte Independence
USL1
Charlotte Independence 3-1 One Knoxville — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte Independence beat One Knoxville 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Charlotte Independence made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 37% of the ball to One Knoxville's 63%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.87 to 1.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, One Knoxville led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.40 for One Knoxville.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Charlotte Independence 3-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?
Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 36%, draw 25%, One Knoxville 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.