OFI 0-2 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
7.95
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
46%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
16%
19.45
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
27.5
X/1
7%
20.45
X/2
13%
3.65
X/X
11%
7.03
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
25%
1.5
2/X
5%
22.9
Value flag · 1/1 at 19.45 — our 16% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
10%
+19.9pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.1pp
46%
Away Win
72%
-26.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 77%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
0.00/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.87
-100% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -28%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
201 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.54 xG 2.49
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
244 Passes 402
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
01.12.2024 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
10.02.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-0 HT 3-0 OFI OFI YUN
30.10.2023 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
29.01.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
09.10.2022 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
0-2
AWAY Olympiakos
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFI vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos saw off OFI 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, OFI had 39% of the ball to Olympiakos's 61%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for OFI and 2.17 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Olympiakos?

OFI 0-2 Olympiakos in the Greece - Cup on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split OFI 30%, draw 24%, Olympiakos 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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