Olympiakos 1-0 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.38
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
25.0
X/1
18%
3.65
X/2
8%
24.7
X/X
6%
8.12
2/1
11%
25.0
2/2
6%
23.4
2/X
6%
30.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-11.5pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.8pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+9.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
2.14/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.97
+22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
27.8 Crosses 10.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
6W-0D-0L
AWAY OFI
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.27 xG 0.42
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
414 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
10.02.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-0 HT 3-0 OFI OFI YUN
30.10.2023 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
29.01.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
09.10.2022 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
27.02.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-0
AWAY OFI
3.16 xG 0.84
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
363 Passes 167
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 10
40 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos squeezed past OFI 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Olympiakos had 64% of the ball to OFI's 36%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 3.16 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympiakos's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Olympiakos and 0.33 for OFI.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs OFI?

Olympiakos 1-0 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 64%, draw 18%, OFI 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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