Aris Saloniki 0-0 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
39%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.5
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
7%
21.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 39% vs market 32.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.28
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
8%
8.5
X/2
15%
4.21
X/X
19%
4.17
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.47
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-11.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.0pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 55%
+17% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.15/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.71
+54% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
15.2 Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.51 xG 2.78
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
200 Passes 409
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 42
4 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
30.11.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-0 HT 2-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
30.10.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
21.04.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
14.04.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 2-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.03.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-3 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
0-0
AWAY AEK Atina
0.59 xG 0.73
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
214 Passes 362
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki and AEK Atina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 39% of the ball to AEK Atina's 61%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.59 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aris Saloniki and 2.17 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina?

Aris Saloniki 0-0 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 29%, draw 32%, AEK Atina 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AEK Atina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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