Aris Saloniki 1-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 45%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.69/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.92
-24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
224 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 7.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.51 xG 2.78
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
200 Passes 409
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 42
4 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-0 HT 2-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
30.10.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
21.04.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
14.04.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 2-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.03.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-3 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
17.01.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1-1
AWAY AEK Atina
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki and AEK Atina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AEK Atina at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 44% of the ball to AEK Atina's 56%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aris Saloniki and 2.17 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina?

Aris Saloniki 1-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Cup on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 29%, draw 28%, AEK Atina 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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